Oversight

Parsing the Polls

The presidential election remains closer than most people realize.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

Two Out of Three Ain't Bad

Whoever wins two out of three key states -- Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania -- is likely to be the next president.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

Reading the Tea Leaves

Depending on which numbers you find most persuasive, you can convince yourself that President Bush is virtually certain to be re-elected or will surely lose in November.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

Senate Dominoes

The Senate landscape looks fairly stable.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

Addition and Subtraction

Watch for events or circumstances that could fundamentally change the existing equation.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

Dead Heat

The nation is so evenly divided along ideological and partisan lines that the election would probably look tight even if we didn't yet know the identities of the nominees.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

Shell Game

If President Bush wins re-election, the Democrats will need to pick up two seats to take control of the Senate.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

Currying Favor

Undecided voters have already made a tentative decision not to support the incumbent; the remaining decision is whether to vote for the main challenger.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

The Trail to Triumph

Can House Democrats reach victory from here?

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

Playing For Keeps

John Kerry's selection of John Edwards as his running mate tells us that he wants to win.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

Break the Tie

Even though the 2004 presidential race appears today to be even, George W. Bush can't afford to go into Nov. 2 tied with Kerry.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

The GOP's Mixed Week

President Bush gained ground in the presidential campaign, but Illinois Senate contender Jack Ryan was forced from his race.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

Follow the Votes

The best way to sort out the true battleground states this year is to start with the 2000 presidential election results.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

Restoring Faith

Can Bush rehabilitate himself in the eyes of the many voters who see him as a man of determination and integrity but disagree with him about priorities and policies?

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

Overinterpretation

Democrats are eager to read enormous significance into their latest win in a South Dakota special election.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

Premature Panic

It is far too soon for House Republicans to mount a suicide watch.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

High Stakes

If 1997 was the most boring political year we've had in over two decades, 2004 is turning out to be one of the most fascinating.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

Crunching the Numbers

For the first time, a majority of Americans are critical of the president and his administration's handling of the war.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

Choosing the Right Partner

The only remaining major X-factor in the makeup of political battleground states is Kerry's choice for running mate.

  • Charlie Cook
Oversight

The Specter Factor

Last week's primary victory by Sen. Arlen Specter, R-Penn., was just the break Senate Republicans needed.

  • Charlie Cook
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