Oversight

The Bloomberg Scenario

An independent like Michael Bloomberg would probably need 37 or 38 percent of the popular vote to win a majority in the Electoral College.

Oversight

Busy Intersection

In as many as four states, candidates may have to choose between running for the Senate and angling for a spot on their party's national ticket.

Oversight

Watch for Retirements

Large numbers of House member retirements concentrated in one party would be telling.

Oversight

Giuliani’s Opening

Republican presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani stands to benefit from the collapse of John McCain's campaign.

Oversight

Early Exit

John McCain’s failure to win the trust of the GOP establishment and his association with the Iraq surge contributed to his campaign’s downfall.

Oversight

Money Isn’t Everything

Impressive fundraising won’t necessarily translate to presidential hopeful Barack Obama winning the Democratic nomination.

Oversight

Polling Trends

The Democratic presidential contest has been stable for months, but the Republican field remains volatile.

Oversight

Gaining Momentum

Recent survey shows the three top Democratic presidential candidates ahead in every combination of match-ups against the top four Republicans.

Oversight

Patience Wears Thin

Voters aren’t happy with Democrats’ progress on top agenda items such as immigration reform.

Oversight

Balancing Act

The Democrats took a hit from anti-war voters for softening demands for withdrawal from Iraq, but the approach may work in the long term.

Oversight

Turning the Tables

Congressional Republicans need to make next year’s elections about Democrats’ record since taking charge, rather than Iraq.

Oversight

Financial Checkup

Second-quarter fundraising reports will show which of the presidential contenders have been able to expand their contributions base.

Oversight

Closing In

The contest for the GOP presidential nomination is tightening, with John McCain gaining on Rudy Giuliani.

Oversight

Getting Jumpy

Republican lawmakers are signaling that their patience on Iraq is wearing thin.

Oversight

First-Quarter Grades

Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani sits at the head of the class for the GOP, and Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, for the Democrats.

Oversight

Controlling Themselves

Democrats are holding back on hot-button issues such as gun control, to appease voters.

Oversight

Underestimating Giuliani

The former New York City mayor’s chances of winning the 2008 Republican presidential nomination still aren’t great, but they’re looking better.

Oversight

Taking a Stand

Those who disagree with President Bush give him little credit for his tenacity.

Oversight

Combining Polls

Aggregate results show Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton leading the Democrats and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, the Republicans.

Oversight

Bottoming Out

Opposition to the war in Iraq may have leveled off.